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Championship

Referee: S Attwell

Norwich

T T S U T

0–1

Full-time

Derby

T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Derby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,8

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,3

This season — Championship · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,0

2,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

13 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 6

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 12. · Derby 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bournemouth	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Reading	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Bristol City	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Swansea	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Watford	3	2	1	0	+2	7
6	Blackburn	3	2	0	1	+8	6
7	Luton	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Birmingham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Millwall	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+2	4
11	QPR	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Norwich	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Rotherham	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Sheffield Weds	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Stoke	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Coventry	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Cardiff	3	1	0	2	-1	3
18	Huddersfield	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Middlesbrough	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Preston	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Barnsley	3	0	1	2	-3	1
22	Nott'm Forest	3	0	0	3	-5	0
23	Derby	3	0	0	3	-7	0
24	Wycombe	3	0	0	3	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bristol City	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Bournemouth	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Watford	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	QPR	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Birmingham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Luton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Coventry	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Millwall	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Norwich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Middlesbrough	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sheffield Weds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Swansea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Barnsley	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Preston	2	0	0	2	-2	0
21	Stoke	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Cardiff	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Wycombe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Derby	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Swansea	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Rotherham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Stoke	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+3	3
7	Cardiff	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Sheffield Weds	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Norwich	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Luton	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Preston	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Watford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Coventry	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	QPR	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Derby	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Nott'm Forest	2	0	0	2	-3	0
24	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.