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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Ath Madrid

S S U S U

0–0

Full-time

Villarreal

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 2/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

50%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,5

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

14 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

9 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 12. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Valencia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+2	7
4	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	-1	7
5	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
6	Sevilla	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Betis	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Cadiz	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Granada	3	2	0	1	-2	6
10	Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Celta	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
13	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Osasuna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	3
17	Huesca	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Elche	2	1	0	1	-2	3
19	Valladolid	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Alaves	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Getafe	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Granada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Betis	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Celta	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Valladolid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Eibar	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Huesca	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Osasuna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Osasuna	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Elche	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Levante	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	3
13	Huesca	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Valladolid	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Villarreal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Granada	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.