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LaLiga2
Vallecano
U S S S T
4–0
Full-time
Malaga
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vallecano Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 2
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vallecano 8. · Malaga 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ponferradina 4 3 0 1 +5 9
2 Sp Gijon 3 3 0 0 +4 9
3 Espanol 3 2 1 0 +5 7
4 Fuenlabrada 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +2 7
6 Leganes 3 2 0 1 +2 6
7 Malaga 3 2 0 1 +0 6
8 Vallecano 3 2 0 1 -1 6
9 Alcorcon 4 1 2 1 +1 5
10 Las Palmas 4 1 2 1 +0 5
11 Mirandes 4 1 2 1 +0 5
12 Castellon 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Oviedo 4 0 3 1 -2 3
14 Tenerife 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Lugo 3 1 0 2 -3 3
16 Zaragoza 2 0 2 0 +0 2
17 Logrones 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Cartagena 3 0 1 2 -3 1
19 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -6 1
20 Sabadell 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,90
U
3,12
B
4,44
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,53
U2,5
1,49
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.