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Championship
Referee: M Salisbury
1–1
Full-time
QPR
S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds QPR
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — Championship · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
5 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 13. · QPR 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bournemouth 4 3 1 0 +4 10
2 Reading 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Bristol City 3 3 0 0 +5 9
4 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Watford 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Blackburn 3 2 0 1 +8 6
7 Luton 3 2 0 1 +1 6
8 Birmingham 3 1 2 0 +1 5
9 Millwall 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Brentford 3 1 1 1 +2 4
11 QPR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Rotherham 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Norwich 4 1 1 2 -1 4
15 Stoke 3 1 1 1 -1 4
16 Coventry 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Cardiff 3 1 0 2 -1 3
18 Huddersfield 3 1 0 2 -3 3
19 Derby 4 1 0 3 -6 3
20 Middlesbrough 3 0 2 1 -1 2
21 Preston 3 0 1 2 -2 1
22 Barnsley 3 0 1 2 -3 1
23 Nott'm Forest 3 0 0 3 -5 0
24 Wycombe 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds QPR
L. Palmer 🔁
↦ L. Shaw
5′
Half-time 0–0
M. Odubajo 🔁
↦ L. Palmer
46′
Callum Paterson 🟨
52′
0–1 Y. Barbet
own goal
54′
Massimo Luongo 🟨
63′
64′
🔁 M. Bonne
↦ T. Carroll
J. Pelupessy 🔁
↦ F. Dele-Bashiru
69′
73′
🔁 D. Ball
↦ L. Amos
77′
🟨 Yoann Barbet
96′
M. Bonne 0–2
Y. Barbet
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-4-1-2
25 C. Dawson G
15 T. Lees D
11 A. Reach M
5 C. Paterson F
4 J. van Aken D
17 F. Dele-Bashiru F
10 B. Bannan M
7 K. Harris M
21 M. Luongo M
18 J. Windass F
26 L. Shaw D
Bench (7)
2 L. Palmer
22 M. Odubajo
8 J. Pelupessy
28 J. Wildsmith
42 L. Waldock
45 E. Kachunga
20 J. Rhodes

Coach: G. Monk

QPR

4-2-3-1
13 T. Dieng G
3 L. Wallace D
20 G. Cameron M
6 Y. Barbet D
4 R. Dickie D
24 O. Kakay D
22 T. Carroll M
11 B. Osayi-Samuel M
10 I. Chair M
8 L. Amos M
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (7)
7 M. Bonne
12 D. Ball
26 F. Bettache
38 P. Smyth
25 N. Hamalainen
32 L. Kelly
2 T. Kane

Coach: M. Warburton

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
U ✓
3,30
B
3,78
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.