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Championship
Referee: D Whitestone
Hull
U T S U T
1–3
Full-time
Bristol City
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%
16 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 16. · Bristol City 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 4 3 1 0 +5 10
2 Swansea 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Fulham 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Sheffield Weds 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 West Brom 5 2 3 0 +2 9
6 Charlton 4 2 2 0 +3 8
7 Bristol City 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 +0 7
9 Millwall 4 2 1 1 -2 7
10 Preston 4 2 0 2 +3 6
11 Derby 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Blackburn 4 2 0 2 -1 6
13 Cardiff 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Nott'm Forest 4 1 2 1 +2 5
15 Reading 4 1 1 2 +0 4
16 Hull 4 1 1 2 -1 4
17 Middlesbrough 4 1 1 2 -1 4
18 Brentford 4 1 1 2 -1 4
19 QPR 4 1 1 2 -3 4
20 Barnsley 4 1 1 2 -3 4
21 Wigan 4 1 0 3 -5 3
22 Luton 4 0 1 3 -3 1
23 Huddersfield 4 0 1 3 -3 1
24 Stoke 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Bristol City
32′
🔁 K. Palmer
↦ T. Kalas
35′
🟨 Tommy Rowe
41′
B. Afobe 0–1
1–1 J. Bowen
K. Stewart
44′
Half-time 1–1
63′
🟨 Kasey Palmer
66′
🔁 J. Hunt
↦ Pedro Pereira
75′
🔁 A. Semenyo
↦ F. Diedhiou
R. Tafazolli 🔁
↦ J. de Wijs
76′
78′
R. Burke 2–1
own goal
80′
B. Afobe 2–2
A. Weimann
87′
🟨 Andreas Weimann
J. Bowler 🔁
↦ G. Honeyman
87′
J. Magennis 🔁
↦ J. Irvine
88′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-1-1
1 G. Long G
4 J. de Wijs D
5 R. Burke D
21 B. Fleming D
6 K. Stewart M
36 J. Irvine F
37 Leonardo Lopes D
18 G. Honeyman M
11 K. Grosicki M
9 T. Eaves F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
3 R. Tafazolli
19 J. Bowler
27 J. Magennis
14 N. Dicko
23 S. Kingsley
13 M. Ingram
8 D. Batty

Coach: G. McCann

Bristol City

3-4-1-2
1 D. Bentley
6 N. Baker D
22 T. Kalas D
23 T. Moore D
32 Pedro Pereira M
25 T. Rowe M
8 J. Brownhill M
42 H. Massengo M
14 A. Weimann F
40 B. Afobe F
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
45 K. Palmer
2 J. Hunt
18 A. Semenyo
19 N. Eliasson
17 S. Szmodics
11 C. O'Dowda
33 N. Mäenpää

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,46
U
3,35
B ✓
2,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,93
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Whitestone · 166 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.