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Bundesliga
Referee: R Schröder
Augsburg
T U T T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Union Berlin
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
5,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
3,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,3
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
6,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
5,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-4,0
-4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
12 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Augsburg 17. · Union Berlin 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +4 3
3 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Wolfsburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Bayern Munich 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 M'gladbach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Schalke 04 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Paderborn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
15 FC Koln 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
18 Union Berlin 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Union Berlin
Rani Khedira 🟨
36′
Ruben Vargas 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Vargas
F. Niederlechner
59′
M. Richter 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
66′
67′
🔁 S. Abdullahi
↦ S. Becker
André Hahn 🟨
71′
71′
🔁 S. Polter
↦ A. Ujah
71′
🔁 S. Andersson
↦ M. Ingvartsen
R. Oxford 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
74′
80′
S. Andersson 1–1
S. Polter
83′
🟥 Keven Schlotterbeck
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
88′
90′
🟨 Suleiman Abdullahi
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
21 T. Koubek G
2 S. Lichtsteiner D
18 T. Jedvaj D
31 P. Max D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn M
11 M. Gregoritsch M
25 C. Gruezo M
8 R. Khedira D
7 F. Niederlechner F
16 R. Vargas M
Bench (9)
23 M. Richter
36 R. Oxford
27 A. Finnbogason
20 J. Schieber
3 M. Pedersen
1 A. Luthe
34 G. Teigl
5 M. Suchý
24 F. Jensen

Coach: M. Schmidt

Union Berlin

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
3 N. Subotić D
28 C. Trimmel D
25 C. Lenz D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
30 R. Andrich M
21 G. Prömel M
15 M. Bülter M
11 A. Ujah F
27 S. Becker M
32 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (9)
20 S. Abdullahi
9 S. Polter
10 S. Andersson
23 F. Kroos
24 M. Schmiedebach
5 M. Friedrich
8 J. Mees
35 M. Nicolas
14 K. Reichel

Coach: U. Fischer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U ✓
3,32
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Schröder · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.