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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Rosenborg
S S U S U
3–2
Full-time
Stabaek
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Stabaek
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 36%
44%
28%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
39%
39%
Both score Ø 45%
50%
39%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%
27 Shots 6
14 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 11
15 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 4. · Stabaek 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 18 12 3 3 +24 39
2 Bodo/Glimt 18 12 3 3 +14 39
3 Odd 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Rosenborg 18 8 5 5 +5 29
5 Brann 18 8 5 5 +5 29
6 Valerenga 18 7 5 6 +8 26
7 Viking 18 7 4 7 -1 25
8 Haugesund 18 6 6 6 +6 24
9 Kristiansund 18 6 5 7 -1 23
10 Lillestrom 18 6 4 8 -6 22
11 Mjondalen 18 4 8 6 -4 20
12 Stabaek 18 5 5 8 -5 20
13 Ranheim 18 5 3 10 -12 18
14 Tromso 18 5 3 10 -16 18
15 Sarpsborg 08 18 2 9 7 -6 15
16 Stromsgodset 18 3 4 11 -17 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Stabaek
8′
Birger Meling 1–0
own goal
2–0 Alexander Soderlund
Babajide David Akintola
28′
Half-time 2–0
Gjermund Asen 🔁
↦ Marius Lundemo
46′
56′
🔁 Luc Kassi
↦ Tortol Lumanza
3–0 Samuel Adegbenro
63′
65′
🔁 Youssef Toutouh
↦ Hugo Vetlesen
Pål Andre Helland 🔁
↦ Babajide David Akintola
66′
74′
🟨 Marcus Sandberg
4–0 Pål Andre Helland
75′
77′
🟨 Youssef Toutouh
Anders Trondsen 🔁
↦ Mike Jensen
80′
81′
🔁 Kosuke Kinoshita
↦ Ola Brynhildsen
82′
Kasper Junker 4–1
Jeppe Moe
Pål Andre Helland 🟨
86′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 Andre Hansen G
2 Vegar Hedenstad D
4 Tore Reginiussen D
16 Even Hovland D
3 Birger Meling D
7 Mike Jensen M
25 Marius Lundemo M
8 Anders Konradsen M
17 Babajide David Akintola F
14 Alexander Soderlund F
28 Samuel Adegbenro F
Bench (7)
24 Arild Østbø
19 Gustav Valsvik
15 Anders Trondsen
22 Gjermund Asen
35 Emil Konradsen Ceide
10 Pål Andre Helland
34 Erik Botheim

Coach: E. Horneland

Stabaek

4-5-1
12 Marcus Sandberg G
2 Ronald Hernández D
3 Yaw Amankwah D
4 Vadim Demidov D
18 Jeppe Moe D
20 Ola Brynhildsen M
67 Tortol Lumanza M
8 Emil Bohinen M
22 Sammy Skytte M
25 Hugo Vetlesen M
21 Kasper Junker F
Bench (7)
1 Simen Lillevik Kjellevold
5 Steinar Stromnes
30 Peder Vogt
6 Luc Kassi
10 Youssef Toutouh
17 Daniel Braaten
19 Kosuke Kinoshita

Coach: J. Jönsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.