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Championship
Referee: John Brooks
Hull
S T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Bristol City
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hull Bristol City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
This season — Championship · 45/45 matches
Win Ø 40%
38%
42%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
56%
38%
Both score Ø 51%
49%
53%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hull 14. · Bristol City 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 45 26 13 6 +35 91
2 Sheffield United 45 26 10 9 +37 88
3 Leeds 43 23 8 12 +19 77
4 West Brom 43 22 10 11 +25 76
5 Aston Villa 42 19 15 8 +20 72
6 Derby 42 19 14 9 +22 71
7 Middlesbrough 45 19 13 13 +7 70
8 Bristol City 45 19 12 14 +6 69
9 Swansea 45 18 10 17 +3 64
10 Sheffield Weds 45 16 16 13 -1 64
11 Nott'm Forest 45 16 15 14 +6 63
12 Brentford 45 16 13 16 +11 61
13 Preston 45 16 13 16 +3 61
14 Hull 45 17 10 18 -2 61
15 Birmingham 45 14 18 13 +6 60
16 Blackburn 45 16 11 18 -5 59
17 Stoke 45 11 21 13 -7 54
18 Wigan 45 12 13 20 -14 49
19 QPR 45 13 9 23 -19 48
20 Reading 45 10 16 19 -17 46
21 Millwall 45 10 14 21 -15 44
22 Rotherham 45 8 16 21 -30 40
23 Bolton 45 8 8 29 -48 32
24 Ipswich 45 4 16 25 -42 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hull Bristol City
4′
🔁 L. Kelly
↦ A. Webster
17′
🟨 Tomáš Kalas
29′
🟨 Marlon Pack
Half-time 0–0
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ F. Campbell
54′
1–0 J. Irvine
55′
58′
🔁 M. Taylor
↦ F. Diedhiou
58′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ K. Palmer
M. Sheaf 🔁
↦ K. Grosicki
77′
Kevin Stewart 🟨
78′
B. Fleming 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
84′
Markus Henriksen 🟨
90′
90′
M. Henriksen 2–0
own goal
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Hull

4-4-1-1
12 G. Long G
2 E. Lichaj D
5 R. Burke D
27 R. McKenzie D
22 M. Henriksen M
6 K. Stewart M
16 J. Irvine M
18 D. Batty M
14 K. Grosicki M
25 F. Campbell F
20 J. Bowen M
Bench (7)
9 N. Dicko
28 M. Sheaf
21 B. Fleming
36 L. Ridgewell
29 C. Martin
1 D. Marshall
7 Evandro

Coach: N. Adkins

Bristol City

4-2-3-1
24 M. O’Leary G
4 A. Webster D
5 B. Wright D
22 T. Kalas D
3 J. Dasilva D
21 M. Pack M
45 K. Palmer M
8 J. Brownhill M
14 A. Weimann M
20 J. Paterson M
9 F. Diedhiou F
Bench (7)
17 L. Kelly
10 M. Taylor
19 N. Eliasson
15 M. Watkins
12 L. Walsh
2 E. Pisano
34 S. Marinovic

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

John Brooks · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.