← Match Finder
Premier League
Referee: G Scott
Arsenal
S T U T T
0–1
Full-time
Burnley
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Arsenal Burnley
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,3
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
This season — Premier League · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 23%
36%
10%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
55%
40%
Both score Ø 33%
36%
30%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
13 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 15. · Burnley 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tottenham 12 7 4 1 +14 25
2 Liverpool 12 7 4 1 +9 25
3 Southampton 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 +13 22
5 Leicester 11 7 0 4 +6 21
6 West Ham 12 6 2 4 +5 20
7 Everton 12 6 2 4 +3 20
8 Man United 11 6 2 3 +2 20
9 Man City 11 5 4 2 +6 19
10 Aston Villa 10 6 0 4 +8 18
11 Crystal Palace 12 5 2 5 +1 17
12 Newcastle 11 5 2 4 -2 17
13 Wolves 12 5 2 5 -5 17
14 Leeds 12 4 2 6 -5 14
15 Arsenal 11 4 1 6 -4 13
16 Brighton 11 2 4 5 -3 10
17 Fulham 12 2 2 8 -10 8
18 Burnley 10 1 3 6 -13 6
19 West Brom 12 1 3 8 -16 6
20 Sheffield United 12 0 1 11 -16 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Arsenal Burnley
34′
🟨 Robbie Brady
Half-time 0–0
Granit Xhaka 🟥
56′
58′
🔁 A. Barnes
↦ J. Rodriguez
Dani Ceballos 🔁
↦ A. Lacazette
60′
70′
🔁 M. Vydra
↦ C. Wood
Héctor Bellerín 🟨
71′
Mohamed Elneny 🟨
73′
73′
P. Aubameyang 1–0
own goal
A. Maitland-Niles 🔁
↦ Bellerín
74′
E. Nketiah 🔁
↦ Willian
82′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 B. Leno G
2 Bellerín D
3 K. Tierney D
16 R. Holding D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
7 B. Saka M
34 G. Xhaka M
25 Mohamed Elneny M
12 Willian M
14 P. Aubameyang F
9 A. Lacazette M
Bench (7)
8 Dani Ceballos
15 A. Maitland-Niles
30 E. Nketiah
28 J. Willock
13 R. Rúnarsson
20 S. Mustafi
32 E. Smith Rowe

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Burnley

4-4-1-1
1 N. Pope G
2 M. Lowton D
6 B. Mee D
5 J. Tarkowski D
3 C. Taylor D
18 A. Westwood M
12 R. Brady M
8 J. Brownhill M
19 J. Rodriguez F
9 C. Wood F
11 D. McNeil M
Bench (7)
10 A. Barnes
27 M. Vydra
15 B. Peacock-Farrell
23 E. Pieters
41 J. Benson
34 J. Dunne
28 K. Long

Coach: S. Dyche

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,54
U
4,22
B ✓
6,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,90
U2,5 ✓
1,92
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Scott · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.