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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Charleroi
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
Oostende
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,3
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
63%
54%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Corners 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 4. · Oostende 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 24 10 9 5 +11 39
2 Genk 17 11 4 2 +21 37
3 Antwerp 16 12 1 3 +13 37
4 Charleroi 24 10 4 10 +1 34
5 Gent 15 10 2 3 +16 32
6 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
7 Kortrijk 24 8 7 9 -3 31
8 Club Brugge 16 9 3 4 +16 30
9 Anderlecht 16 9 3 4 +11 30
10 Eupen 24 9 1 14 -17 28
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Waregem 24 7 5 12 -10 26
13 Cercle Brugge 24 7 5 12 -17 26
14 Oostende 24 6 5 13 -20 23
15 Beveren 24 4 10 10 -8 22
16 Lokeren 24 3 5 16 -23 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Oostende
24′
🟨 Tom De Sutter
Núrio 🟨
41′
44′
🟨 Goran Milović
Half-time 0–0
68′
🔁 Jelle Bataille
↦ Laurens De Bock
David Henen 🔁
↦ Younes Delfi
69′
69′
🔁 Fashion Sakala
↦ Tom De Sutter
Jérémy Perbet 🔁
↦ Gaetan Hendrickx
73′
75′
🟨 Kevin Vandendriessche
1–0 Jérémy Perbet
78′
Christophe Diandy 🔁
↦ Ryota Morioka
85′
90′
Žarko Tomašević 1–1
90′
🟨 Fashion Sakala
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-4-2
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
4 Maxime Busi D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
25 Núrio D
33 Gabriele Angella D
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
26 Marco Ilaimaharitra M
70 Younes Delfi F
77 Massimo Bruno F
44 Ryota Morioka M
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (8)
15 Valentin Baume
8 Martos
23 Steeven Willems
6 Gjoko Zajkov
13 Christophe Diandy
7 David Henen
9 Adama Niane
10 Jérémy Perbet

Oostende

4-3-3
28 William Dutoit G
3 Laurens De Bock D
4 Wout Faes D
5 Goran Milović D
6 Nicolas Lombaerts D
17 Jordi Vanlerberghe D
19 Amin Nouri D
33 Žarko Tomašević D
18 Tom De Sutter F
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
55 Fernando Canesin F
Bench (7)
30 Thomas De Bie
25 Jelle Bataille
43 Sander Coopman
29 Robbie D'Haese
11 Indy Boonen
10 Sindrit Guri
7 Fashion Sakala

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.