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Pro League
Referee: Sebastien Delferiere
Kortrijk
U S S S T
4–1
Full-time
Genk
U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
43%
43%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
71%
43%
Both score Ø 58%
86%
29%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 8. · Genk 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 7 6 0 1 +11 18
2 Standard 8 4 3 1 +7 15
3 Gent 5 4 1 0 +7 13
4 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +5 13
5 Mechelen 8 3 3 2 +2 12
6 Anderlecht 5 3 2 0 +7 11
7 Charleroi 5 3 2 0 +3 11
8 Kortrijk 7 3 2 2 +0 11
9 Genk 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 St Truiden 8 2 1 5 -3 7
11 Lokeren 8 2 1 5 -5 7
12 Eupen 8 2 1 5 -8 7
13 Oostende 4 2 0 2 +0 6
14 Beveren 8 1 3 4 -6 6
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 2 0 6 -8 6
16 Westerlo 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Genk
1–0 A. Totovytsky
5′
Birger Verstraete 🟨
40′
40′
🟨 Thomas Buffel
Half-time 2–0
2–0 X. Mercier
H. Kage
46′
46′
🔁 L. Trossard
↦ L. Bailey
3–0 I. Saadi
R. Métanire
55′
57′
🟨 Bryan Heynen
4–0 I. Saadi
A. Totovytsky
62′
63′
L. Trossard 4–1
B. Heynen
S. Sarr 🔁
↦ I. Saadi
70′
70′
🔁 B. Nastić
↦ J. Uronen
70′
🔁 M. Samatta
↦ B. Heynen
K. D'Haene 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
76′
F. Boyer 🔁
↦ Joãozinho
82′
Herve Kage 🟨
87′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 T. Kaminski G
23 Joãozinho D
15 R. Métanire D
6 D. Goutas D
20 S. Gigot D
17 G. De Mets M
10 H. Kage F
25 X. Mercier M
5 B. Verstraete M
29 A. Totovytsky M
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
88 S. Sarr
30 K. D'Haene
3 F. Boyer
9 A. Papazoglou
13 M. Sifakis
24 L. Rougeaux
31 A. Van Loo

Coach: B. Van Lancker

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
2 J. Brabec D
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
41 T. Castagne D
25 O. Ndidi M
19 T. Buffel F
10 T. Sušić M
28 B. Heynen M
7 N. Karelis F
31 L. Bailey F
Bench (7)
14 L. Trossard
3 B. Nastić
77 M. Samatta
5 S. Walsh
8 B. Kumordzi
15 D. Wouters
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Maes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sebastien Delferiere · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.