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Pro League
Referee: Dierick
Genk
T U T S S
3–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,8
3,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-2,2
This season — Pro League · 21/22 matches
Win Ø 35%
43%
27%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
52%
68%
Both score Ø 63%
48%
77%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,2
1,4
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%
16 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 6. · Kortrijk 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 16 11 3 2 +15 36
2 Club Brugge 15 11 2 2 +26 35
3 Mechelen 22 10 5 7 +4 35
4 Standard 22 9 7 6 +12 34
5 Anderlecht 14 10 2 2 +24 32
6 Genk 21 9 4 8 -4 31
7 Oostende 14 9 2 3 +16 29
8 Gent 14 8 2 4 +8 26
9 Charleroi 15 7 5 3 +4 26
10 Lokeren 22 6 6 10 -6 24
11 Kortrijk 22 6 6 10 -12 24
12 St Truiden 22 5 5 12 -10 20
13 Eupen 22 5 5 12 -19 20
14 Beveren 21 4 7 10 -13 19
15 Westerlo 22 4 6 12 -21 18
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 22 4 3 15 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Kortrijk
1–0 S. Schrijvers
4′
N. Jackers 🔁
↦ M. Bizot
11′
30′
🟨 Dimitris Goutas
2–0 M. Samatta
S. Schrijvers
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 T. Chevalier
↦ S. Sarr
3–0 Pozuelo
T. Castagne
68′
S. Berge 🔁
↦ R. Malinovskiy
69′
69′
🔁 H. Kage
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
José Naranjo 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
87′
87′
🔁 X. Mercier
↦ I. Ouali
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
15 O. Colley D
41 T. Castagne D
24 Pozuelo M
18 R. Malinovskiy
28 B. Heynen -
14 L. Trossard F
77 M. Samatta
22 S. Schrijvers F
Bench (7)
30 N. Jackers
25 S. Berge
11 José Naranjo
2 J. Brabec
5 S. Walsh
8 B. Kumordzi
10 T. Sušić

Coach: A. Stuivenberg

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
13 M. Sifakis G
23 Joãozinho D
24 L. Rougeaux D
6 D. Goutas D
20 S. Gigot D
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
26 E. Rolland M
88 S. Sarr -
27 I. Ouali M
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
9 T. Chevalier
10 H. Kage
25 X. Mercier
8 N. Pavlović
28 T. Kaminski
31 A. Van Loo
39 L. Veldwijk

Coach: B. Van Lancker

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.