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Pro League

Referee: Jonathan Lardot

Eupen

U T T S T

4–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 23%

17%

28%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

59%

Both score Ø 63%

59%

66%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

2,0

1,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Corners 2

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eupen 16. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	19	15	3	1	+27	48
2	Antwerp	29	10	11	8	-1	41
3	Anderlecht	19	12	4	3	+13	40
4	Kortrijk	29	11	6	12	+1	39
5	St Truiden	29	9	10	10	-11	37
6	Oostende	29	10	6	13	+2	36
7	Gent	20	10	5	5	+16	35
8	Charleroi	19	9	8	2	+14	35
9	Genk	20	9	8	3	+11	35
10	Beveren	29	9	8	12	+1	35
11	Waregem	29	10	4	15	-7	34
12	Lokeren	29	8	7	14	-14	31
13	Standard	19	8	6	5	+4	30
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	29	8	6	15	-15	30
15	Mechelen	29	5	9	15	-20	24
16	Eupen	29	5	9	15	-21	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	10	0	0	+18	30
2	St Truiden	14	8	3	3	+3	27
3	Kortrijk	14	6	5	3	+9	23
4	Beveren	15	6	3	6	+6	21
5	Standard	10	6	3	1	+4	21
6	Anderlecht	9	6	2	1	+10	20
7	Eupen	14	5	5	4	-1	20
8	Gent	10	6	1	3	+11	19
9	Antwerp	15	4	7	4	+3	19
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	5	4	6	-6	19
11	Charleroi	10	4	6	0	+6	18
12	Oostende	14	6	0	8	+0	18
13	Waregem	15	5	2	8	-8	17
14	Mechelen	14	4	4	6	-5	16
15	Genk	10	3	6	1	+6	15
16	Lokeren	14	2	4	8	-13	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	14	6	4	4	-4	22
2	Lokeren	15	6	3	6	-1	21
3	Genk	10	6	2	2	+5	20
4	Anderlecht	10	6	2	2	+3	20
5	Club Brugge	9	5	3	1	+9	18
6	Oostende	15	4	6	5	+2	18
7	Charleroi	9	5	2	2	+8	17
8	Waregem	14	5	2	7	+1	17
9	Gent	10	4	4	2	+5	16
10	Kortrijk	15	5	1	9	-8	16
11	Beveren	14	3	5	6	-5	14
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	2	9	-9	11
13	St Truiden	15	1	7	7	-14	10
14	Standard	9	2	3	4	+0	9
15	Mechelen	15	1	5	9	-15	8
16	Eupen	15	0	4	11	-20	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.