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Serie A
Referee: Piero Giacomelli
Atalanta
U U U S S
0–1
Full-time
Roma
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,5
5,2
Scored
1,5
3,3
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 1
6 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Apr -17 Roma – Atalanta 1–1 20. Nov -16 Atalanta – Roma 2–1 17. Apr -16 Atalanta – Roma 3–3 29. Nov -15 Roma – Atalanta 0–2

Match report

Atalanta Roma
31′
⚽ A. Kolarov 0–1
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Grégoire Defrel
A. Cornelius 🔁
↦ A. Petagna
58′
Rafael Tolói 🟨
68′
J. Iličić 🔁
↦ J. Kurtič
70′
74′
🔁 S. El Shaarawy
↦ G. Defrel
M. de Roon 🔁
↦ B. Cristante
75′
81′
🔁 F. Fazio
↦ Bruno Peres
84′
🔁 Lorenzo Pellegrini
↦ D. Perotti
90′
🟨 Radja Nainggolan
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-1-2
1 E. Berisha G
5 A. Masiello D
3 Rafael Tolói D
6 J. Palomino D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Gosens M
10 A. Gómez F
11 R. Freuler M
27 J. Kurtič M
4 B. Cristante M
29 A. Petagna F
Bench (12)
9 A. Cornelius
72 J. Iličić
15 M. de Roon
7 R. Orsolini
13 M. Caldara
20 L. Vido
21 T. Castagne
28 G. Mancini
31 F. Rossi
32 N. Haas
88 João Schmidt
91 P. Gollini

Coach: G. Gasperini

Roma

4-3-3
1 Alisson G
11 A. Kolarov D
44 K. Manolas D
25 Bruno Peres D
5 Juan Jesus D
16 D. De Rossi M
4 R. Nainggolan M
6 K. Strootman M
9 E. Džeko F
8 D. Perotti F
23 G. Defrel F
Bench (11)
92 S. El Shaarawy
20 F. Fazio
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini
15 H. Moreno
17 C. Ünder
18 B. Lobonț
21 M. Gonalons
22 N. Abdullahi
28 Ł. Skorupski
30 Gerson
32 M. Tumminello

Coach: E. Di Francesco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Piero Giacomelli · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.