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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Oliveira

Porto

U S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Moreirense

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,0

Scored

2,5

0,5

Conceded

0,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+2,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

67% Possession 33%

27 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Porto 4. · Moreirense 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	3	3	0	0	+8	9
2	Sp Lisbon	3	3	0	0	+8	9
3	Rio Ave	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Estoril	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Portimonense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Belenenses	3	1	0	2	-5	3
10	Guimaraes	3	1	0	2	-7	3
11	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Chaves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-4	3
11	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Estoril	2	1	0	1	-3	3
6	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Portimonense	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Belenenses	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.