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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
1–0
Full-time
Standard
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 27%
18%
36%
Points per game
0,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
64%
61%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3 Corners 2
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 16. · Standard 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mechelen 28 13 6 9 +7 45
2 Waregem 18 13 3 2 +19 42
3 Genk 28 12 6 10 +0 42
4 Club Brugge 18 13 2 3 +27 41
5 Standard 28 10 11 7 +10 41
6 Anderlecht 18 12 4 2 +28 40
7 Oostende 18 12 2 4 +20 38
8 Charleroi 18 9 6 3 +6 33
9 Gent 18 9 4 5 +9 31
10 Beveren 28 7 9 12 -11 30
11 Kortrijk 28 8 6 14 -15 30
12 Eupen 28 8 6 14 -21 30
13 Lokeren 28 7 8 13 -10 29
14 St Truiden 28 7 5 16 -14 26
15 Westerlo 28 5 7 16 -28 22
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 5 3 20 -27 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
25′
🟨 Constantinos Laifis
32′
🟨 Ibrahima Cisse
1–0 S. Diédhiou
F. Marković
38′
43′
🟨 Benito Raman
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 J. Bolingi
↦ J. Legear
Matej Delac 🟨
47′
Mickael Tirpan 🟨
59′
59′
🟨 Ishak Belfodil
Trézéguet 🔁
↦ D. Mohamed
69′
A. Nkaka 🔁
↦ F. Marković
75′
N. Gulan 🔁
↦ N. Kabasele
78′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

21 M. Delač G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
36 D. Arslanagic D
23 M. Tirpan D
34 S. Simič D
27 M. Vojvoda D
5 D. Hubert M
11 D. Mohamed F
7 F. Marković M
94 N. Kabasele F
20 S. Diédhiou F
Bench (7)
10 Trézéguet
26 A. Nkaka
24 N. Gulan
9 R. Ferber
18 F. Miya
33 T. Defourmy
99 D. Matulevičius

Coach: M. Rednic

Standard

1 J. Gillet G
33 M. Kosanović D
34 K. Laifis D
25 F. Mladenović D
32 C. Fai D
30 J. Legear F
7 M. Dossevi M
44 I. Cissé M
18 R. Marin M
99 I. Belfodil F
8 B. Raman F
Bench (7)
11 J. Bolingi
5 Danilo Barbosa
13 A. Scholz
22 Edmilson Junior
24 C. Fiore
28 G. Hubert
40 J. Deom

Coach: A. Janković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.