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Pro League

Referee: Sebastien Delferiere

Gent

U S U T U

5–2

Full-time

Waregem

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 52%

50%

54%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

39%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

54% Possession 46%

13 Shots 10

9 Shots on target 7

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gent 4. · Waregem 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	28	17	7	4	+35	58
2	Club Brugge	28	16	6	6	+28	54
3	Waregem	28	15	6	7	+15	51
4	Gent	28	14	8	6	+16	50
5	Oostende	28	14	7	7	+17	49
6	Mechelen	30	14	6	10	+5	48
7	Genk	30	14	6	10	+5	48
8	Charleroi	28	11	11	6	+5	44
9	Standard	30	10	12	8	+9	42
10	Lokeren	30	7	10	13	-10	31
11	Kortrijk	30	8	7	15	-17	31
12	St Truiden	30	8	6	16	-13	30
13	Beveren	30	7	9	14	-15	30
14	Eupen	30	8	6	16	-24	30
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	30	7	3	20	-24	24
16	Westerlo	30	5	8	17	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	14	10	3	1	+18	33
2	Genk	15	10	3	2	+11	33
3	Anderlecht	14	10	2	2	+27	32
4	Club Brugge	14	9	5	0	+20	32
5	Mechelen	15	10	1	4	+11	31
6	Oostende	14	8	4	2	+16	28
7	Waregem	14	8	4	2	+11	28
8	Charleroi	14	8	3	3	+5	27
9	Standard	15	7	5	3	+11	26
10	St Truiden	15	7	4	4	+5	25
11	Lokeren	15	5	6	4	+1	21
12	Beveren	15	4	6	5	+0	18
13	Kortrijk	15	5	3	7	-2	18
14	Eupen	15	4	5	6	-8	17
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	4	2	9	-11	14
16	Westerlo	15	3	3	9	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	14	7	5	2	+8	26
2	Waregem	14	7	2	5	+4	23
3	Club Brugge	14	7	1	6	+8	22
4	Oostende	14	6	3	5	+1	21
5	Charleroi	14	3	8	3	+0	17
6	Gent	14	4	5	5	-2	17
7	Mechelen	15	4	5	6	-6	17
8	Standard	15	3	7	5	-2	16
9	Genk	15	4	3	8	-6	15
10	Kortrijk	15	3	4	8	-15	13
11	Eupen	15	4	1	10	-16	13
12	Beveren	15	3	3	9	-15	12
13	Westerlo	15	2	5	8	-19	11
14	Lokeren	15	2	4	9	-11	10
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	3	1	11	-13	10
16	St Truiden	15	1	2	12	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.