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Primeira Liga
Referee: Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo
Aves
T U
0–2
Full-time
Sp Braga
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
0 Offside 5
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aves 17. · Sp Braga 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 Sp Lisbon 3 3 0 0 +8 9
4 Rio Ave 3 3 0 0 +4 9
5 Estoril 3 2 0 1 +0 6
6 Maritimo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Sp Braga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
8 Portimonense 3 1 0 2 -2 3
9 Belenenses 3 1 0 2 -5 3
10 Guimaraes 3 1 0 2 -7 3
11 Feirense 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Vitoria Setubal 3 0 2 1 -1 2
13 Moreirense 3 0 2 1 -3 2
14 Pacos Ferreira 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Tondela 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Chaves 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Aves 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Boavista 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aves Sp Braga
Amilton da Silva 🟥
42′
Half-time 0–1
57′
⚽ Danilo Barbosa 0–1
Washington Santana 🔁
↦ Vitor Gomes
62′
69′
🔁 Ricardo Horta
↦ Danilo Barbosa
69′
🔁 Fransérgio
↦ Bruno Xadas
R. Gauld 🔁
↦ Bruno Braga
71′
Derley 🔁
↦ Salvador Agra
81′
Nélson Lenho 🟨
88′
89′
🔁 Ricardo Esgaio
↦ N. Stojiljković
94′
⚽ Ricardo Esgaio 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Aves

4-4-2
83 Adriano Facchini G
21 Nelson Lenho D
44 Diego Galo D
2 Rodrigo Alves D
19 Bruno Braga M
30 Vitor Gomes M
26 Ponck D
29 Claudio Falcão M
77 Salvador Agra M
7 Alexandre Guedes F
23 Amilton M
Bench (7)
8 Washington Santana
27 R. Gauld
33 Derley
1 Quim
5 Rodrigo Defendi
20 F. Falcone
99 C. Arango

Coach: Ricardo Soares

Sp Braga

4-4-2
1 Matheus G
87 Marcelo Goiano D
5 Sequeira D
3 L. Rosić D
36 Bruno Vianna D
35 N.S. Vukčević M
11 Danilo Barbosa M
10 Bruno Xadas M
19 N. Stojiljković F
26 Fábio Martins M
20 Paulinho F
Bench (7)
21 Ricardo Horta
27 Fransérgio
47 Ricardo Esgaio
4 Jefferson
25 André Moreira
34 Raúl Silva
71 Pedro Neto

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.