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Serie A
Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Crotone
U S S T S
0–3
Full-time
Milan
U T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Milan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

19% Possession 81%
6 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 10
1 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
5 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Apr -17 Crotone – Milan 1–1 4. Dec -16 Milan – Crotone 2–1

Match report

Crotone Milan
Federico Ceccherini 🟥
5′
6′
⚽ F. Kessié 0–1
N. Dussenne 🔁
↦ M. Trotta
8′
9′
🟨 Patrick Cutrone
18′
⚽ P. Cutrone 0–2
Suso
23′
⚽ Suso 0–3
P. Cutrone
Half-time 0–3
A. Nalini 🔁
↦ M. Rohdén
56′
59′
🟨 Manuel Locatelli
62′
🔁 André Silva
↦ P. Cutrone
68′
🔁 I. Abate
↦ A. Conti
69′
🟨 Leonardo Bonucci
M. Izco 🔁
↦ A. Stoian
71′
78′
🔁 J. Mauri
↦ M. Locatelli
Noe Dussenne 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Crotone

4-4-2
1 A. Cordaz G
37 D. Faraoni D
44 L. Cabrera D
87 B. Martella D
7 F. Ceccherini D
5 A. Stoian M
10 A. Barberis M
6 M. Rohdén M
38 R. Mandragora M
17 A. Budimir F
29 M. Trotta F
Bench (12)
33 N. Dussenne
9 A. Nalini
13 M. Izco
3 M. Festa
14 C. Suljic
28 G. Borello
89 G. Crociata
93 Arlind Ajeti
11 O. Kragl
31 M. Sampirisi
78 A. Viscovo
99 S. Nwankwo

Coach: D. Nicola

Milan

4-3-3
99 G. Donnarumma G
19 L. Bonucci D
22 M. Musacchio D
68 R. Rodríguez D
12 A. Conti M
10 H. Çalhanoğlu F
79 F. Kessié M
73 M. Locatelli M
11 F. Borini F
8 Suso F
63 P. Cutrone F
Bench (9)
9 André Silva
20 I. Abate
4 J. Mauri
2 D. Calabria
17 C. Zapata
18 R. Montolivo
30 M. Storari
31 L. Antonelli
90 A. Donnarumma

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Maurizio Mariani · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.