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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Utrecht
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Willem II
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Willem II
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,5
0,7
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%
9 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 5. · Willem II 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 VVV Venlo 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Twente 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Roda 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Willem II
1–0 Z. Labyad
L. Görtler
2′
2–0 C. Dessers
L. Görtler
7′
19′
🔁 F. Heerkens
↦ D. Crowley
Half-time 2–0
55′
🟨 Ismail Azzaoui
B. Ould-Chikh 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
58′
68′
🔁 E. Lieftink
↦ T. Haye
69′
🟨 Pedro Chirivella
S. van de Streek 🔁
↦ Y. Ayoub
70′
76′
🔁 K. Coulibaly
↦ I. Azzaoui
O. Velanas 🔁
↦ Z. Labyad
82′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
14 W. Janssen D
15 Robin van der Meer D
17 S. Klaiber D
20 G. Troupée D
18 U. Emanuelson M
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
27 L. Görtler F
11 C. Dessers F
Bench (8)
19 B. Ould-Chikh
22 S. van de Streek
25 O. Velanas
7 G. Kerk
5 D. Dumić
2 M. van der Maarel
16 N. Marsman
21 J. Bahebeck

Coach: E. ten Hag

Willem II

4-3-3
1 T. Wellenreuther G
4 J. Peters D
29 D. Lachman D
2 F. Lewis D
21 K. Tsimikas D
23 B. Rienstra M
10 T. Haye M
14 D. Crowley M
6 Chirivella M
38 I. Azzaoui M
9 Fran Sol F
Bench (10)
3 F. Heerkens
20 E. Lieftink
7 K. Coulibaly
11 J. Croux
30 A. Calcan
43 T. Kok
16 B. Urbański
45 E. Bostanci
31 M. Branderhorst
93 S. van der Lei

Coach: E. van de Looi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.