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Pro League
Referee: Joeri Van De Velde
Genk
S S T U S
1–0
Full-time
Waregem
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
6 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 6. · Waregem 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Charleroi 4 3 1 0 +3 10
2 Waregem 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Anderlecht 4 2 2 0 +5 8
4 Mechelen 5 2 2 1 +1 8
5 Kortrijk 5 2 2 1 -2 8
6 Genk 4 2 1 1 +3 7
7 Gent 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Club Brugge 4 2 1 1 +2 7
9 Standard 5 1 3 1 +1 6
10 Oostende 3 2 0 1 +1 6
11 Lokeren 5 2 0 3 -1 6
12 St Truiden 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 Eupen 5 1 1 3 -5 4
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 1 0 4 -3 3
15 Beveren 5 0 2 3 -4 2
16 Westerlo 5 0 1 4 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Waregem
42′
🟨 Onur Kaya
Half-time 0–0
68′
🟨 Alessandro Cordaro
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ B. Heynen
71′
B. Nastić 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
77′
1–0 Pozuelo
T. Buffel
80′
81′
🔁 S. Coopman
↦ A. Cordaro
83′
🔁 Vetokele
↦ L. Lerager
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
87′
89′
🔁 O. Oularé
↦ C. Lepoint
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
1 M. Bizot G
6 S. Dewaest D
21 J. Uronen D
5 S. Walsh D
4 O. Colley D
25 O. Ndidi M
19 T. Buffel F
24 Pozuelo M
28 B. Heynen M
14 L. Trossard F
77 M. Samatta F
Bench (7)
7 N. Karelis
3 B. Nastić
8 B. Kumordzi
15 D. Wouters
16 D. Vanzeir
20 P. Sabak
26 L. Köteles

Coach: P. Maes

Waregem

4-2-3-1
1 S. Bossut G
6 T. Derijck M
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
3 M. Baudry D
10 O. Kaya M
29 A. Cordaro M
23 C. Lepoint M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
9 M. Leye F
Bench (7)
43 S. Coopman
7 Vetokele
16 O. Oularé
5 B. Verboom
11 J. Naessens
22 K. Steppe
33 S. Brebels

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.