Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Fredrikstad
Ranheim
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Kristiansund
|
26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | +15 | 54 |
| 2 |
Sandefjord
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +13 | 50 |
| 3 |
Jerv
|
25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |
Sandnes ULF
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +19 | 44 |
| 5 |
Kongsvinger
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 44 |
| 6 |
Mjondalen
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +11 | 44 |
| 7 |
Strommen
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 41 |
| 8 |
Levanger
|
27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Asane
|
27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 |
Fredrikstad
|
26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | -6 | 31 |
| 11 |
Ranheim
|
26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | -10 | 31 |
| 12 |
hodd
|
26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 |
Ull/Kisa
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | +1 | 28 |
| 14 |
KFUM Oslo
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 |
Bryne
|
27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 |
Raufoss
|
27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -25 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: M. Mjelde
Coach: S. Maalen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sandefjord
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Strommen
hodd
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Jerv
Fredrikstad
Asane
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.