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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Aalesund
T U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Odd
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Odd
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
32%
48%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
56%
56%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
56%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 6
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 13. · Odd 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 19 5 1 +40 62
2 Brann 26 13 6 7 +13 45
3 Odd 25 12 6 7 +8 42
4 Haugesund 26 11 8 7 +4 41
5 Sarpsborg 08 26 11 7 8 -2 40
6 Molde 25 11 5 9 +3 38
7 Stromsgodset 26 10 6 10 +1 36
8 Viking 25 10 6 9 -3 36
9 Sogndal 26 8 11 7 +1 35
10 Valerenga 25 8 6 11 -1 30
11 Bodo/Glimt 26 8 6 12 -4 30
12 Tromso 25 8 6 11 -6 30
13 Aalesund 25 8 5 12 -10 29
14 Stabaek 26 7 6 13 -6 27
15 Lillestrom 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Start 25 1 9 15 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Odd
15′
🔁 V. Bergan
↦ R. Zekhnini
Half-time 0–0
64′
🔁 S. Mladenovic
↦ V. Bergan
78′
🔁 O. Occéan
↦ Riku Riski
83′
🟨 Fredrik Jensen
1–0 E. Gyasi
85′
Edwin Gyasi 🟨
86′
S. Fet 🔁
↦ E. Gyasi
86′
V. Hoff 🔁
↦ M. Abdellaoue
88′
T. Mäntylä 🔁
↦ F. Boli
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
6 V. Wormgoor D
22 A. Arnarson D
3 D. Grétarsson D
21 B. Riise M
8 F. Carlsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
14 E. Gyasi M
7 F. Boli F
Bench (7)
40 S. Fet
18 V. Hoff
4 T. Mäntylä
15 Marlinho
24 L. Cramer
38 J. Hatlehol
33 A. Waagan

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Odd

4-3-3
1 S. Rossbach G
2 E. Ruud D
21 S. Hagen D
16 F. Semb Berge D
5 T. Grøgaard D
14 F. Nordkvelle M
20 F. Jensen M
6 O. Berg M
24 Riku Riski F
26 C. Akabueze
11 R. Zekhnini F
Bench (7)
4 V. Bergan
13 S. Mladenovic
10 O. Occéan
12 V. Myhra
23 L. Eriksen
3 A. Gashi
15 S. Haugen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.