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Eliteserien
Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes
Tromso
S T S S T
0–2
Full-time
Molde
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 38%
32%
44%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
60%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
48%
52%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 12. · Molde 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 19 5 1 +40 62
2 Brann 26 13 6 7 +13 45
3 Odd 25 12 6 7 +8 42
4 Haugesund 26 11 8 7 +4 41
5 Sarpsborg 08 26 11 7 8 -2 40
6 Molde 25 11 5 9 +3 38
7 Stromsgodset 26 10 6 10 +1 36
8 Viking 25 10 6 9 -3 36
9 Sogndal 26 8 11 7 +1 35
10 Valerenga 25 8 6 11 -1 30
11 Bodo/Glimt 26 8 6 12 -4 30
12 Tromso 25 8 6 11 -6 30
13 Aalesund 25 8 5 12 -10 29
14 Stabaek 26 7 6 13 -6 27
15 Lillestrom 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Start 25 1 9 15 -31 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Molde
42′
🟨 Joshua Gatt
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Ruben Gabrielsen
52′
E. Hestad 0–1
J. Gatt
64′
🔁 S. Svendsen
↦ J. Gatt
64′
🔁 F. Aursnes
↦ H. Singh
J. Johansen 🔁
↦ U. Jenssen
70′
A. Sigurdarson 🔁
↦ T. Olsen
75′
Jonas Johansen 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 M. Mostrøm
↦ E. Hestad
79′
K. Antonsen 1–1
own goal
Morten Pedersen 🔁
↦ M. Ingebrigtsen
84′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Tromso

4-3-3
12 F. Lončarić
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
15 M. Andersen M
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
30 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
11 J. Johansen
17 A. Sigurdarson
7 Morten Pedersen
4 H. Gjesdal
9 S. Moussa
27 F. Michalsen
28 J. Karlstrom

Coach: B. Flovik

Molde

4-4-1-1
1 E. Horvath G
15 P. Flo D
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
14 P. Strand M
7 H. Singh M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
28 S. Gregersen D
10 B. Sigurðarson F
2 J. Gatt F
Bench (7)
11 S. Svendsen
17 F. Aursnes
9 M. Mostrøm
3 A. Diop
20 T. Amang
23 K. Rindarøy
26 A. Linde

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kristoffer Hagenes · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.