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Serie A

Referee: Marco Guida

Milan

T T S S U

4–3

Full-time

Sassuolo

T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

This season — Serie A · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

52% Possession 48%

15 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 8. · Sassuolo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	7	6	0	1	+11	18
2	Napoli	7	4	2	1	+8	14
3	Lazio	7	4	1	2	+6	13
4	Chievo	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Genoa	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Inter	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	Roma	6	3	1	2	+6	10
8	Milan	6	3	1	2	+1	10
9	Cagliari	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Bologna	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Atalanta	7	3	0	4	-2	9
12	Sassuolo	6	3	0	3	-2	9
13	Torino	6	2	2	2	+4	8
14	Fiorentina	5	2	2	1	+1	8
15	Sampdoria	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Udinese	7	2	1	4	-6	7
17	Pescara	7	1	3	3	-3	6
18	Palermo	7	1	3	3	-4	6
19	Empoli	7	1	1	5	-9	4
20	Crotone	7	0	1	6	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cagliari	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Roma	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Bologna	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Torino	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Fiorentina	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Lazio	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Milan	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Sassuolo	3	2	0	1	+0	6
13	Genoa	3	1	2	0	+2	5
14	Inter	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Sampdoria	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
17	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-5	3
18	Pescara	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Crotone	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Palermo	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Lazio	4	2	1	1	+2	7
3	Palermo	4	1	3	0	+1	6
4	Genoa	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Inter	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Chievo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Napoli	4	1	2	1	+2	5
8	Pescara	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Milan	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Sampdoria	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Udinese	3	1	0	2	-4	3
14	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Torino	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Roma	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Empoli	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Cagliari	3	0	0	3	-7	0
20	Crotone	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.