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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Mechelen
U U S S U
2–3
Full-time
Waregem
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 63%
43%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
29%
50%
Both score Ø 31%
29%
33%
Average goals
1,9
2,7
Scored
1,1
2,2
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

5 Corners 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 4. · Waregem 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 6 5 0 1 +10 15
2 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +5 13
3 Standard 7 3 3 1 +4 12
4 Mechelen 7 3 3 1 +3 12
5 Anderlecht 5 3 2 0 +7 11
6 Charleroi 5 3 2 0 +3 11
7 Kortrijk 7 3 2 2 +0 11
8 Gent 4 3 1 0 +6 10
9 Genk 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 St Truiden 7 2 1 4 -2 7
11 Eupen 7 2 1 4 -5 7
12 Lokeren 8 2 1 5 -5 7
13 Oostende 4 2 0 2 +0 6
14 Beveren 8 1 3 4 -6 6
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 2 0 6 -8 6
16 Westerlo 7 0 1 6 -12 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Waregem
1–0 N. Verdier
6′
2–0 Y. Croizet
N. Verdier
38′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Vetokele
↦ M. Baudry
51′
L. Lerager 2–1
O. Kaya
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ E. Cocalić
55′
D. Veselinović 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
60′
62′
🟨 Jens Naessens
71′
🔁 S. Coopman
↦ J. Naessens
L. Paulussen 🔁
↦ D. Kolovos
76′
80′
S. Coopman 2–2
84′
🟨 Luca Marrone
Mats Rits 🟨
86′
89′
L. Lerager 2–3
Vetokele
90′
🟨 Igor Vetokele
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

49 A. Moris G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
16 A. Bjelica F
7 T. Matthys M
18 N. Schouterden M
11 M. Rits M
17 D. Kolovos M
10 Y. Croizet M
99 N. Verdier M
Bench (7)
30 J. Vanlerberghe
9 D. Veselinović
2 L. Paulussen
8 R. Leal
22 E. Cobbaut
26 C. Coosemans
77 G. Claes

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Waregem

22 K. Steppe G
6 T. Derijck M
2 D. De fauw D
31 B. Hamalainen D
3 M. Baudry D
10 O. Kaya M
4 L. Marrone M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
9 M. Leye F
11 J. Naessens F
Bench (7)
7 Vetokele
43 S. Coopman
1 S. Bossut
5 B. Verboom
15 K. Madu
29 A. Cordaro
33 S. Brebels

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.