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Ligue 1

Referee: Clement Turpin

Lyon

T T U S T

2–0

Full-time

St Etienne

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

57%

43%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

3,1

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 10. · St Etienne 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	8	6	2	0	+9	20
2	Monaco	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Paris SG	8	5	1	2	+11	16
4	Toulouse	8	4	2	2	+5	14
5	Bordeaux	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Rennes	8	4	1	3	-1	13
7	Metz	8	4	1	3	-6	13
8	St Etienne	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Guingamp	8	3	2	3	+1	11
10	Lyon	7	3	1	3	+4	10
11	Bastia	8	3	1	4	+0	10
12	Angers	8	3	1	4	-1	10
13	Caen	8	3	1	4	-7	10
14	Marseille	8	2	3	3	+0	9
15	Dijon	8	2	2	4	-2	8
16	Nantes	8	2	2	4	-4	8
17	Montpellier	8	1	4	3	-6	7
18	Lille	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Lorient	8	2	0	6	-8	6
20	Nancy	8	1	2	5	-7	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Rennes	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Paris SG	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	10
5	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Toulouse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
7	Caen	4	3	0	1	-2	9
8	Dijon	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Marseille	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Angers	4	2	1	1	+2	7
11	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
12	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+1	7
13	Bastia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
14	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
15	Lille	4	2	0	2	-2	6
16	Lorient	4	2	0	2	-3	6
17	Metz	4	2	0	2	-7	6
18	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
19	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
20	Nancy	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	0	1	+7	9
2	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Metz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
4	Paris SG	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Bordeaux	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	-1	5
7	Lyon	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Guingamp	5	1	1	3	-1	4
9	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Nancy	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Bastia	4	1	0	3	-1	3
12	Angers	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Montpellier	4	0	2	2	-6	2
15	Marseille	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Lille	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Caen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-7	1
19	Lorient	4	0	0	4	-5	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.