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Pro League
Waregem
S U U S T
2–3
Full-time
Mechelen
T S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 16/20 matches
Win Ø 37%
44%
30%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 85%
94%
75%
Both score Ø 84%
88%
80%
Average goals
4,1
3,6
Scored
2,2
1,6
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Waregem 9. · Mechelen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 1 3 +33 43
2 Gent 17 12 3 2 +22 39
3 Oostende 18 10 5 3 +16 35
4 Anderlecht 17 10 5 2 +12 35
5 Genk 17 10 3 4 +11 33
6 Standard 21 9 1 11 -10 28
7 St Truiden 22 8 2 12 -9 26
8 Westerlo 27 6 8 13 -24 26
9 Waregem 16 7 4 5 +5 25
10 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +1 25
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 27 6 7 14 -13 25
12 Mechelen 20 6 5 9 -7 23
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 21 5 6 10 -7 21
14 Lokeren 22 5 6 11 -7 21
15 Beveren 21 6 3 12 -16 21
16 Kortrijk 19 4 7 8 -7 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -15 Mechelen – Waregem 3–4

Match report

Waregem Mechelen
1–0 M. Leye
K. Essikal
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 E. Cocalić
↦ U. Vitas
47′
N. Verdier 1–1
S. Hanni
53′
M. Rits 1–2
C. Lepoint 🔁
↦ K. Essikal
69′
76′
S. Hanni 1–3
L. Paulussen
2–3 M. Thiam
O. Kaya
83′
J. Benteke 🔁
↦ M. Poletanović
86′
88′
🔁 N. Ben Khalifa
↦ N. Verdier
92′
🔁 A. El Messaoudi
↦ T. Matthys
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Waregem

1 S. Bossut
6 J. Sami
14 H. Dalsgaard
5 B. Verboom
3 M. Baudry
34 O. Kaya
10 S. De Ridder
8 M. Poletanović
35 K. Essikal
9 M. Leye
7 M. Thiam
Bench (7)
23 C. Lepoint
15 J. Benteke
11 S. Buyl
17 S. Meïté
22 K. Steppe
29 A. Cordaro
33 S. Brebels

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
23 U. Vitas
16 A. Bjelica
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
15 E. Cocalić
17 N. Ben Khalifa
33 A. El Messaoudi
8 R. Leal
9 D. Veselinović
14 Chen Xavier
49 A. Moris

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.