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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Groningen
T T U U S
0–0
Full-time
Heracles
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Groningen 12. · Heracles 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 6 6 0 0 +14 18
2 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 +9 13
3 Ajax 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Heerenveen 5 3 1 1 +5 10
5 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Vitesse 6 3 1 2 +4 10
7 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 +1 10
9 Den Haag 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Twente 6 3 0 3 +1 9
11 Heracles 6 1 2 3 -3 5
12 Groningen 6 1 2 3 -4 5
13 Willem II 6 1 2 3 -6 5
14 Nijmegen 6 1 2 3 -7 5
15 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 1 4 -7 4
16 Roda 6 0 3 3 -6 3
17 Utrecht 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Zwolle 6 0 2 4 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Groningen Heracles
22′
🔁 P. van Ooijen
↦ L. Duarte
26′
🟨 Thomas Bruns
Tom Hiariej 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
A. Sørloth 🔁
↦ D. Hoesen
59′
A. Rusnák 🔁
↦ M. Mahi
67′
74′
🔁 B. Darri
↦ J. Navrátil
S. Tibbling 🔁
↦ O. Idrissi
80′
86′
🔁 G. Agbaljan
↦ T. Bruns
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Groningen

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
2 J. Davidson M
3 K. Larsen D
33 H. Hateboer M
8 R. Jenssen M
24 T. Hiariej M
5 S. Memišević D
9 D. Hoesen F
11 B. Linssen F
14 M. Mahi M
45 O. Idrissi F
Bench (10)
13 A. Sørloth
10 A. Rusnák
22 S. Tibbling
6 E. Reijnen
19 T. van Weert
20 Y. van Nieff
23 H. Maduro
12 J. Bacuna
21 M. van der Laan
30 P. van der Vlag

Coach: E. Faber

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 M. te Wierik D
4 R. Pröpper D
27 J. Hoogma D
8 L. Duarte M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
9 S. Armenteros F
17 B. Kuwas F
15 J. Navrátil F
Bench (9)
20 P. van Ooijen
7 B. Darri
24 G. Agbaljan
28 M. Brouwer
25 R. Fij
19 V. Vermeij
30 T. van de Berg
11 T. Kada
22 D. van Mieghem

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.