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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Ath Bilbao

T T S S S

3–1

Full-time

Sevilla

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

1,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

60%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

60%

40%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,2

2,0

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

14 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Sevilla 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+13	13
2	Real Madrid	5	4	1	0	+9	13
3	Sevilla	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Eibar	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+9	9
6	Las Palmas	5	3	0	2	+3	9
7	Villarreal	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Ath Bilbao	5	3	0	2	+1	9
9	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
10	Sociedad	6	2	1	3	-1	7
11	Leganes	5	2	1	2	-3	7
12	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-9	7
13	Alaves	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	La Coruna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Espanol	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Malaga	6	1	2	3	-3	5
17	Celta	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Valencia	5	1	0	4	-4	3
19	Granada	5	0	2	3	-6	2
20	Osasuna	5	0	2	3	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Las Palmas	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	-3	6
6	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+5	4
8	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+3	4
9	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Malaga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	La Coruna	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Celta	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Alaves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
17	Granada	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Leganes	2	0	1	1	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	9
2	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Leganes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
6	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Espanol	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-1	3
10	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Betis	3	1	0	2	-4	3
13	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	La Coruna	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Celta	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Osasuna	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Granada	2	0	1	1	-4	1
19	Sp Gijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.