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Premier League

Referee: Neil Swarbrick

Swansea

S T T U T

1–3

Full-time

Man City

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

0,8

2,7

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,8

This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

20%

100%

Points per game

0,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

40%

100%

Both score Ø 60%

40%

80%

Average goals

2,2

3,8

Scored

0,8

3,0

Conceded

1,4

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%

13 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 7

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 15. · Man City 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Everton	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Man United	6	4	0	2	+5	12
4	Tottenham	5	3	2	0	+6	11
5	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	+5	10
6	Chelsea	5	3	1	1	+4	10
7	Liverpool	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Watford	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	West Brom	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Hull	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Leicester	6	2	1	3	-3	7
13	Middlesbrough	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Southampton	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Swansea	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Burnley	5	1	1	3	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	1	1	3	-6	4
18	West Ham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Sunderland	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Stoke	5	0	1	4	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Leicester	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Everton	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Man United	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Chelsea	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Southampton	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	West Brom	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Burnley	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Arsenal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Watford	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	West Ham	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
16	Hull	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Middlesbrough	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Swansea	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Sunderland	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Stoke	2	0	0	2	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Liverpool	4	2	1	1	+0	7
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Everton	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Man United	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Watford	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Hull	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	West Brom	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Swansea	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Sunderland	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Stoke	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Bournemouth	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	West Ham	3	0	0	3	-5	0
19	Burnley	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Leicester	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.