Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Bordeaux
Caen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Nice
|
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 |
Toulouse
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |
Paris SG
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |
Bordeaux
|
6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 |
Guingamp
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 |
Lyon
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Rennes
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |
Metz
|
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 10 |
St Etienne
|
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 11 |
Angers
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +0 | 9 |
| 12 |
Bastia
|
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 7 |
| 13 |
Montpellier
|
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 |
Lorient
|
7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 |
Caen
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 6 |
| 16 |
Marseille
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Nancy
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 |
Lille
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
| 20 |
Dijon
|
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 4 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: J. Gourvennec
Coach: P. Garande
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Metz
Bordeaux
Bordeaux
Angers
Lyon
Bordeaux
Bordeaux
Nantes
Toulouse
Bordeaux
Karim Abed · 51 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.