← Match Finder
Premier League
Referee: Graham Scott
Middlesbrough
U S U T T
1–2
Full-time
Tottenham
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Middlesbrough Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Premier League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

41% Possession 59%
6 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 7
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 10
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 13. · Tottenham 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 5 5 0 0 +11 15
2 Everton 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Man United 6 4 0 2 +5 12
4 Tottenham 5 3 2 0 +6 11
5 Arsenal 5 3 1 1 +5 10
6 Chelsea 5 3 1 1 +4 10
7 Liverpool 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Crystal Palace 5 2 1 2 +2 7
9 Watford 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 West Brom 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Hull 5 2 1 2 -1 7
12 Leicester 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Middlesbrough 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Southampton 5 1 2 2 -2 5
15 Swansea 5 1 1 3 -3 4
16 Burnley 5 1 1 3 -5 4
17 Bournemouth 5 1 1 3 -6 4
18 West Ham 5 1 0 4 -6 3
19 Sunderland 5 0 1 4 -6 1
20 Stoke 5 0 1 4 -11 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Tottenham
7′
Heung-Min Son 0–1
V. Janssen
23′
Heung-Min Son 0–2
Half-time 0–2
J. Rhodes 🔁
↦ Álvaro Negredo
59′
Adama Traoré 🔁
↦ G. Ramírez
59′
63′
🟨 Kyle Walker
1–2 B. Gibson
S. Downing
65′
70′
🔁 E. Lamela
↦ M. Sissoko
A. Forshaw 🔁
↦ A. Clayton
82′
86′
🔁 H. Winks
↦ V. Janssen
Adama Traoré 🟨
87′
George Friend 🟨
90′
90′
🔁 G. N'Koudou
↦ C. Eriksen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-2-3-1
26 Víctor Valdés G
17 Barragán D
3 G. Friend D
6 B. Gibson D
25 C. Chambers D
19 S. Downing M
8 A. Clayton M
21 G. Ramírez M
14 M. de Roon M
10 Álvaro Negredo F
18 C. Stuani M
Bench (7)
9 J. Rhodes
37 Adama Traoré
34 A. Forshaw
4 Daniel Ayala
11 V. Fischer
12 B. Guzan
24 Nsue

Coach: Karanka

Tottenham

4-3-3
1 H. Lloris G
5 J. Vertonghen D
2 K. Walker D
4 T. Alderweireld D
33 B. Davies D
17 M. Sissoko F
12 V. Wanyama M
23 C. Eriksen M
20 D. Alli M
7 Heung-Min Son F
9 V. Janssen F
Bench (7)
11 E. Lamela
29 H. Winks
14 G. N'Koudou
13 M. Vorm
16 K. Trippier
27 K. Wimmer
38 C. Carter-Vickers

Coach: M. Pochettino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Graham Scott · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.