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Pro League
Beveren
S T T T S
0–1
Full-time
Genk
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beveren Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 55%
43%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,4
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Beveren 12. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 Gent 7 4 3 0 +7 15
5 St Truiden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
6 Genk 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Westerlo 11 2 4 5 -8 10
8 Charleroi 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Waregem 6 3 0 3 +0 9
10 Mechelen 8 2 3 3 -4 9
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 2 3 5 -4 9
12 Beveren 7 3 0 4 -7 9
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 Kortrijk 7 1 4 2 -1 7
15 Lokeren 8 1 1 6 -7 4
16 Standard 8 1 1 6 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.