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Pro League

Genk

T S T S S

0–4

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Pro League · 7/8 matches

Win Ø 48%

71%

25%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

71%

75%

Both score Ø 80%

71%

88%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,9

1,3

Conceded

1,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 5. · Royal Excel Mouscron 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oostende	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Anderlecht	7	5	2	0	+8	17
3	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+13	16
4	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	15
5	Genk	7	5	0	2	+5	15
6	St Truiden	9	4	1	4	+3	13
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	-3	12
8	Westerlo	11	2	4	5	-8	10
9	Charleroi	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Waregem	6	3	0	3	+0	9
11	Mechelen	8	2	3	3	-4	9
12	Beveren	8	3	0	5	-8	9
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Kortrijk	7	1	4	2	-1	7
15	Lokeren	9	1	1	7	-8	4
16	Standard	8	1	1	6	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	4	0	0	+14	12
2	Genk	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Oostende	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Anderlecht	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Charleroi	5	2	3	0	+4	9
6	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Mechelen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	St Truiden	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Kortrijk	4	1	3	0	+1	6
12	Westerlo	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Standard	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Beveren	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Lokeren	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oostende	4	2	2	0	+5	8
2	Gent	4	2	2	0	+3	8
3	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	St Truiden	5	2	0	3	+2	6
5	Beveren	4	2	0	2	-2	6
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	1	2	3	-3	5
7	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
8	Club Brugge	4	1	1	2	-1	4
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Lokeren	5	1	1	3	-4	4
11	Genk	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Waregem	4	1	0	3	-4	3
13	Mechelen	5	0	2	3	-7	2
14	Kortrijk	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Standard	3	0	0	3	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.