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Pro League
Lokeren
T S T T T
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lokeren Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 8/10 matches
Win Ø 17%
13%
20%
Points per game
0,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
60%
Average goals
1,9
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Lokeren 15. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 8 6 2 0 +11 20
2 Anderlecht 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +13 16
4 Gent 7 4 3 0 +7 15
5 St Truiden 9 4 1 4 +3 13
6 Genk 6 4 0 2 +4 12
7 Westerlo 11 2 4 5 -8 10
8 Charleroi 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Waregem 6 3 0 3 +0 9
10 Mechelen 8 2 3 3 -4 9
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10 2 3 5 -4 9
12 Beveren 7 3 0 4 -7 9
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 2 2 4 -4 8
14 Kortrijk 7 1 4 2 -1 7
15 Lokeren 8 1 1 6 -7 4
16 Standard 8 1 1 6 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lokeren Oud-Heverlee Leuven
3′
Y. Croizet 0–1
J. Bostock
Half-time 0–1
A. Patosi 🔁
↦ F. Starzyński
46′
60′
🔁 R. Regales
↦ K. Ojo
E. Ansah 🔁
↦ M. Mirić
65′
65′
🔁 K. Houdret
↦ J. Bostock
72′
Y. Croizet 0–2
J. Remacle
C. Dessers 🔁
↦ B. Abdurahimi
74′
77′
🔁 L. Trossard
↦ Y. Croizet
1–2 A. Patosi
C. Dessers
82′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
5 M. Marić
19 M. Tičinović
3 D. Odoi
15 S. Ingason
8 K. Persoons
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
34 F. Starzyński
70 Jajá
9 B. Abdurahimi
Bench (7)
10 A. Patosi
23 E. Ansah
17 C. Dessers
22 D. Melnjak
25 B. Ňinaj
28 E. Ngolok
39 B. Geens

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
4 R. Reynaud
5 P. Ngawa
16 K. Rougkalas
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
27 K. Ojo
22 S. Asamoah
Bench (7)
9 R. Regales
12 K. Houdret
19 L. Trossard
1 Y. Lenaerts
3 D. Vandenbroeck
11 A. Cerigioni
14 T. Azevedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.