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Pro League
Gent
U S U U
4–1
Full-time
Standard
S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,8
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
1,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
0,8
2,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 9. · Standard 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 6 5 1 0 +9 16
2 St Truiden 7 4 1 2 +6 13
3 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +7 12
4 Club Brugge 6 3 1 2 +8 10
5 Genk 4 3 0 1 +3 9
6 Mechelen 7 2 2 3 -4 8
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 8 2 1 5 -4 7
8 Waregem 4 2 0 2 +1 6
9 Gent 4 1 3 0 +1 6
10 Beveren 4 2 0 2 -3 6
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 5 2 0 3 -3 6
12 Westerlo 8 1 3 4 -7 6
13 Charleroi 4 1 2 1 -1 5
14 Lokeren 6 1 1 4 -4 4
15 Kortrijk 5 0 3 2 -2 3
16 Standard 4 1 0 3 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Standard
2′
A. Knockaert 0–1
M. Simon 🔁
↦ Y. Soumahoro
29′
1–1 S. Kums
M. Simon
42′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Miličević
47′
T. Matton 🔁
↦ B. Raman
57′
58′
🔁 M. Yattara
↦ R. Emond
3–1 T. Matton
62′
66′
🔁 S. Mmaee
↦ A. Knockaert
70′
🔁 B. Badibanga
↦ M. Dossevi
N. Pedersen 🔁
↦ D. Miličević
81′
4–1 T. Matton
N. Asare
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Gent

1 M. Sels
21 N. Asare
13 S. Mitrović
23 L. Nielsen
77 D. Miličević
14 S. Kums
10 Renato Neto
32 T. Foket
9 L. Depoitre
70 Y. Soumahoro
26 B. Raman
Bench (7)
27 M. Simon
8 T. Matton
28 N. Pedersen
4 Rafinha
16 H. Elhamid
25 B. Vandenbussche
7 K. Coulibaly

Standard

16 Y. Thuram
37 J. Van Damme
27 D. Andrade
36 D. Arslanagic
19 D. Dussaut
24 C. Fiore
17 M. Dossevi
60 S. Yatabaré
23 A. Trebel
7 A. Knockaert
9 R. Emond
Bench (7)
10 M. Yattara
20 S. Mmaee
12 B. Badibanga
8 F. Kasmi
15 J. De Sart
18 I. Santini
28 G. Hubert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.