Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Gent
St Truiden
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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The table before the match ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 2 |
Oostende
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 3 |
St Truiden
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 4 |
Genk
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 5 |
Anderlecht
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 6 |
Charleroi
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Westerlo
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +0 | 3 |
| 9 |
Beveren
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 10 |
Mechelen
|
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Kortrijk
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Lokeren
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 14 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Match report
Line-ups
Gent
M. Sels
B. Dejaegere
M. Simon
Bench (7)
St Truiden
R. Schoofs
J. Dompé
Bench (7)
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.