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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez

Las Palmas

T U U

0–1

Full-time

Vallecano

U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Las Palmas Vallecano

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,7

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,3

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

8 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

3 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Las Palmas 15. · Vallecano 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	4	3	1	0	+12	10
2	Villarreal	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Celta	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+5	9
5	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+3	9
6	Eibar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Espanol	4	2	0	2	-6	6
9	La Coruna	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Betis	4	1	2	1	-4	5
12	Ath Bilbao	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Getafe	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Granada	4	1	0	3	-4	3
15	Las Palmas	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Levante	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Malaga	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Sevilla	4	0	2	2	-4	2
20	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Villarreal	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Celta	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Betis	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Getafe	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-5	3
11	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Malaga	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Levante	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Granada	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Sevilla	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Celta	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+6	4
5	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Eibar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Granada	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Espanol	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sociedad	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Ath Bilbao	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.