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Bundesliga
Referee: Manuel Gräfe
Stuttgart
T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Schalke 04
S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
100%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
3,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
26 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 9
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stuttgart 17. · Schalke 04 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 5 5 0 0 +13 15
2 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 +12 12
3 Wolfsburg 5 3 2 0 +6 11
4 FC Koln 5 3 1 1 +0 10
5 FC Ingolstadt 04 5 3 1 1 -1 10
6 Mainz 5 3 0 2 +4 9
7 Ein Frankfurt 5 2 2 1 +6 8
8 Schalke 04 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Werder Bremen 5 2 1 2 -1 7
10 Hamburg 5 2 1 2 -2 7
11 Hertha 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Darmstadt 5 1 3 1 -2 6
13 Leverkusen 4 2 0 2 -2 6
14 Augsburg 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Hoffenheim 5 0 1 4 -6 1
16 Hannover 4 0 1 3 -6 1
17 Stuttgart 4 0 0 4 -7 0
18 M'gladbach 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stuttgart Schalke 04
Florian Klein 🟨
20′
Emiliano Insúa 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Franco di Santo
52′
🟨 Leroy Sané
53′
L. Sané 0–1
M. Meyer
61′
🟨 Dennis Aogo
62′
🔁 P. Højbjerg
↦ L. Sané
D. Didavi 🔁
↦ A. Maxim
66′
71′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ K. Huntelaar
M. Harnik 🔁
↦ T. Werner
74′
Toni Šunjić 🟨
75′
L. Rupp 🔁
↦ E. Insúa
87′
89′
🔁 B. Höwedes
↦ M. Meyer
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

22 P. Tytoń
16 F. Klein D
2 E. Insúa D
4 T. Šunjić D
5 T. Baumgartl D
20 C. Gentner M
26 S. Dié M
44 A. Maxim M
33 D. Ginczek F
18 F. Kostić M
19 T. Werner F
Bench (7)
10 D. Didavi
7 M. Harnik
8 L. Rupp
3 D. Schwaab
17 O. Vlachodimos
21 A. Hloušek
31 A. Ferati

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
3 Júnior Caiçara D
32 J. Matip D
15 D. Aogo M
33 R. Neustädter D
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
7 M. Meyer M
19 L. Sané F
25 K. Huntelaar F
9 F. Di Santo F
Bench (7)
23 P. Højbjerg
13 E. Choupo-Moting
4 B. Höwedes
6 S. Kolašinac
12 M. Höger
27 S. Riether
30 M. Gspurning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Manuel Gräfe · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.