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Serie A
Referee: Fabio Maresca
Atalanta
T S U
1–1
Full-time
Verona
U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Verona
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Atalanta 11. · Verona 16. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +4 12
2 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
11 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atalanta Verona
13′
🟨 Samuel Souprayen
25′
🔁 G. Pazzini
↦ L. Toni
45′
🟨 Boško Janković
Half-time 0–0
49′
🟨 Jacopo Sala
Marten de Roon 🟨
54′
G. Monachello 🔁
↦ G. Denis
62′
70′
🔁 M. Bianchetti
↦ R. Márquez
L. Cigarini 🔁
↦ A. Grassi
77′
79′
🟨 Boško Janković
79′
🟨 Pierluigi Gollini
79′
🟥 Boško Janković
C. Raimondi 🔁
↦ A. Masiello
82′
Cristian Raimondi 🟨
86′
1–0 M. Moralez ⚽
A. Gómez
89′
Gaetano Monachello 🟨
90′
91′
🔁 L. Siligardi
↦ J. Sala
97′
⚽ E. Pisano 1–1
F. Viviani
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

57 M. Sportiello G
29 G. Paletta D
2 G. Stendardo D
6 G. Bellini D
5 A. Masiello D
10 A. Gómez F
11 M. Moralez M
15 M. de Roon M
27 J. Kurtič M
88 A. Grassi M
19 G. Denis F
Bench (11)
45 G. Monachello
21 L. Cigarini
77 C. Raimondi
24 A. Conti
8 G. Migliaccio
30 D. Bassi
33 N. Cherubin
97 T. Tulissi
17 C. Carmona
1 B. Radunović
7 M. D'Alessandro

Verona

95 P. Gollini G
4 R. Márquez M
3 E. Pisano D
18 V. Moras D
69 S. Souprayen D
7 B. Janković M
19 L. Greco M
26 J. Sala D
24 F. Viviani M
9 L. Toni F
21 J. Gómez Taleb F
Bench (11)
11 G. Pazzini
22 M. Bianchetti
16 L. Siligardi
37 F. Coppola
13 P. Wszołek
41 Cláudio Winck
6 M. Albertazzi
20 M. Zaccagni
5 F. Helander
74 N. Guglielmelli
1 Rafael

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Fabio Maresca · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,42 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.