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Serie A
Referee: Antonio Damato
Napoli
T U U
5–0
Full-time
Lazio
S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%
19 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 1
1 Offside 4
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 18. · Lazio 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +4 12
2 Torino 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Fiorentina 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Roma 4 2 2 0 +3 8
5 Sassuolo 4 2 2 0 +2 8
6 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +5 7
7 Sampdoria 4 2 1 1 +3 7
8 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
11 Atalanta 4 1 2 1 +1 5
12 Juventus 4 1 1 2 +0 4
13 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Verona 4 0 3 1 -2 3
15 Genoa 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 Bologna 4 1 0 3 -3 3
17 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
18 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Carpi 4 0 1 3 -5 1
20 Frosinone 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Napoli Lazio
1–0 G. Higuaín ⚽
14′
19′
🟨 Senad Lulić
2–0 Allan ⚽
L. Insigne
35′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Felipe Anderson
↦ S. Mauri
46′
🔁 S. Milinković-Savić
↦ S. Lulić
3–0 L. Insigne ⚽
47′
56′
🟨 Mauricio
4–0 G. Higuaín ⚽
59′
David López 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
60′
M. Gabbiadini 🔁
↦ G. Higuaín
65′
O. El Kaddouri 🔁
↦ L. Insigne
74′
74′
🔁 F. Đorđević
↦ A. Matri
Kalidou Koulibaly 🟨
77′
5–0 M. Gabbiadini ⚽
Allan
79′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Napoli

25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
26 K. Koulibaly D
2 E. Hysaj D
31 F. Ghoulam D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
9 G. Higuaín F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (12)
19 David López
23 M. Gabbiadini
77 O. El Kaddouri
1 Rafael
3 I. Strinić
4 Henrique
6 M. Valdifiori
11 C. Maggio
14 D. Mertens
21 V. Chiricheş
22 Gabriel
94 N. Chalobah

Lazio

22 F. Marchetti G
8 D. Basta M
26 Ş. Radu D
33 Mauricio D
2 W. Hoedt D
6 S. Mauri M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
23 O. Onazi M
17 A. Matri F
14 B. Keita F
Bench (12)
10 Felipe Anderson
21 S. Milinković-Savić
9 F. Đorđević
4 Patric
5 E. Braafheid
18 S. Gentiletti
29 A. Konko
32 D. Cataldi
55 G. Guerrieri
70 C. Ikonomidis
88 R. Kishna
99 E. Berisha

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Antonio Damato · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.