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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Valeri
Genoa
T S T
0–2
Full-time
Juventus
T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,0
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%
7 Shots 13
0 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genoa 13. · Juventus 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 4 4 0 0 +4 12
2 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +5 7
3 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +5 7
4 Torino 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Roma 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Palermo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
8 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Milan 4 2 0 2 -1 6
10 Lazio 3 2 0 1 -1 6
11 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +1 4
12 Empoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Genoa 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -3 3
15 Napoli 3 0 2 1 -1 2
16 Verona 3 0 2 1 -2 2
17 Juventus 3 0 1 2 -2 1
18 Carpi 3 0 1 2 -4 1
19 Bologna 3 0 0 3 -4 0
20 Frosinone 3 0 0 3 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genoa Juventus
17′
🟨 Patrice Evra
22′
🔁 R. Pereyra
↦ Álvaro Morata
Armando Izzo 🟨
26′
37′
⚽ E. Lamanna 1–0
own goal
Armando Izzo 🟨
44′
Armando Izzo 🟥
44′
Half-time 1–0
Diogo Figueiras 🔁
↦ D. Perotti
46′
Blerim Džemaili 🟨
50′
G. Pandev 🔁
↦ B. Džemaili
57′
60′
⚽ P. Pogba 1–1
61′
🟨 Paul Pogba
62′
🟨 Mario Lemina
P. Tachtsidis 🔁
↦ Capel
64′
76′
🔁 Hernanes
↦ M. Lemina
83′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ M. Mandžukić
86′
🟨 Simone Zaza
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genoa

23 E. Lamanna G
8 N. Burdisso D
4 S. De Maio D
90 I. Cissokho D
5 A. Izzo D
31 B. Džemaili M
88 T. Rincón M
10 D. Perotti F
93 D. Laxalt M
18 J. Ntcham M
16 Capel F
Bench (7)
11 Diogo Figueiras
21 G. Pandev
77 P. Tachtsidis
15 G. Marchese
22 D. Lazović
27 S. Ujkani
39 D. Sommariva

Juventus

1 G. Buffon
15 A. Barzagli D
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
33 P. Evra D
3 G. Chiellini D
16 J. Cuadrado M
18 M. Lemina M
10 P. Pogba M
27 S. Sturaro M
17 M. Mandžukić F
9 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (10)
37 R. Pereyra
11 Hernanes
7 S. Zaza
12 Alex Sandro
19 L. Bonucci
20 S. Padoin
21 P. Dybala
24 D. Rugani
25 Neto
38 E. Audero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Paolo Valeri · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.