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Gent

U S U

2–2

Full-time

Mechelen

T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 54%

33%

75%

Average goals

1,0

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 3/4 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 54%

33%

75%

Average goals

1,0

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

0,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 8. · Mechelen 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oostende	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	St Truiden	6	3	1	2	+3	10
3	Anderlecht	3	3	0	0	+4	9
4	Club Brugge	4	2	1	1	+3	7
5	Genk	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Mechelen	4	2	0	2	-2	6
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	2	0	4	-3	6
8	Gent	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Westerlo	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Charleroi	4	1	2	1	-1	5
11	Waregem	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Beveren	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Standard	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Kortrijk	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Lokeren	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Oostende	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Genk	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Mechelen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Westerlo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Waregem	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Beveren	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Standard	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Kortrijk	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oostende	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	+0	3
4	Gent	2	0	2	0	+0	2
5	Club Brugge	2	0	1	1	-1	1
6	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	1
7	Lokeren	3	0	1	2	-3	1
8	Beveren	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Waregem	2	0	0	2	-2	0
11	Genk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-3	0
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	0	3	-4	0
15	Mechelen	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.