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Pro League
Referee: Frederik Geldhof
Waregem
S T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Genk
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
This season — Pro League · 22/20 matches
Win Ø 48%
41%
55%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
86%
55%
Both score Ø 64%
82%
45%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Waregem 8. · Genk 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 18 1 3 +40 55
2 Gent 23 14 6 3 +24 48
3 Anderlecht 22 13 6 3 +16 45
4 Oostende 23 11 5 7 +7 38
5 Genk 20 11 3 6 +13 36
6 Mechelen 26 10 6 10 -2 36
7 Standard 26 11 3 12 -12 36
8 Waregem 22 9 5 8 +6 32
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Charleroi 22 7 6 9 -2 27
12 Kortrijk 24 6 9 9 -7 27
13 Lokeren 26 7 6 13 -8 27
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 9 11 -9 27
15 St Truiden 26 8 3 15 -14 27
16 Beveren 26 7 5 14 -17 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Genk
8′
M. Samatta 0–1
T. Buffel
15′
M. Baudry 1–1
own goal
Half-time 2–1
2–1 M. Leye
46′
F. Mendy 🔁
↦ A. Diallo
46′
S. Buyl 🔁
↦ N. Storm
74′
J. Benteke 🔁
↦ S. De Ridder
76′
80′
🔁 R. Malinovskiy
↦ N. Kebano
88′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ L. Bailey
91′
🔁 B. Kumordzi
↦ Pozuelo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Waregem

22 K. Steppe
14 H. Dalsgaard
5 B. Verboom
3 M. Baudry
4 A. Diallo
34 O. Kaya
29 A. Cordaro
10 S. De Ridder
17 S. Meïté
9 M. Leye
42 N. Storm
Bench (7)
20 F. Mendy
11 S. Buyl
15 J. Benteke
1 S. Bossut
8 M. Poletanović
44 A. Zaidi
6 J. Sami

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
18 R. Malinovskiy
11 I. de Camargo
8 B. Kumordzi
4 B. Hamalainen
5 S. Walsh
7 N. Karelis
26 L. Köteles

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Frederik Geldhof · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.