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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Inter
S S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Napoli
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Napoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 60%
53%
66%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
41%
59%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
0,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 4. · Napoli 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 32 24 4 4 +41 76
2 Napoli 32 21 7 4 +39 70
3 Roma 32 18 10 4 +34 64
4 Inter 32 17 7 8 +12 58
5 Fiorentina 32 16 8 8 +16 56
6 Milan 32 13 10 9 +7 49
7 Sassuolo 32 12 12 8 +5 48
8 Lazio 32 12 9 11 +0 45
9 Chievo 32 12 8 12 -2 44
10 Torino 33 11 9 13 -2 42
11 Genoa 33 11 7 15 -3 40
12 Empoli 32 10 9 13 -7 39
13 Bologna 33 10 7 16 -7 37
14 Sampdoria 32 9 9 14 -3 36
15 Atalanta 32 9 9 14 -7 36
16 Udinese 32 9 7 16 -19 34
17 Carpi 33 7 10 16 -18 31
18 Palermo 32 7 7 18 -28 28
19 Frosinone 32 7 6 19 -31 27
20 Verona 32 3 13 16 -27 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -15 Napoli – Inter 2–1

Match report

Inter Napoli
1–0 M. Icardi
G. Medel
4′
Yuto Nagatomo 🟨
14′
22′
🟨 Jorginho
Jeison Murillo 🟨
33′
Ivan Perišić 🟨
42′
2–0 M. Brozović
M. Icardi
44′
Half-time 2–0
50′
🔁 F. Ghoulam
↦ I. Strinić
51′
🔁 D. Mertens
↦ L. Insigne
55′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
Geoffrey Kondogbia 🟨
62′
J. Biabiany 🔁
↦ G. Kondogbia
68′
73′
🟨 Dries Mertens
73′
🔁 O. El Kaddouri
↦ Jorginho
Felipe Melo 🔁
↦ S. Jovetić
77′
R. Palacio 🔁
↦ M. Icardi
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Inter

1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
55 Y. Nagatomo D
24 J. Murillo D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
44 I. Perišić M
17 G. Medel M
77 M. Brozović M
7 G. Kondogbia M
10 S. Jovetić F
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (11)
11 J. Biabiany
83 Felipe Melo
8 R. Palacio
5 Juan Jesus
12 Alex Telles
22 A. Ljajić
23 Eder
27 A. Gnoukouri
30 J. Carrizo
46 T. Berni
97 R. Manaj

Napoli

25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
3 I. Strinić D
26 K. Koulibaly D
2 E. Hysaj D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
23 M. Gabbiadini F
Bench (12)
31 F. Ghoulam
14 D. Mertens
77 O. El Kaddouri
1 Rafael
6 M. Valdifiori
11 C. Maggio
18 V. Regini
19 David López
21 V. Chiricheş
22 Gabriel
88 A. Grassi
94 N. Chalobah

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.