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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Welz
Bayern Munich
U S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 64%
83%
45%
Points per game
2,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
59%
Average goals
2,9
2,8
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
0,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,9
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
14 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
3 Offside 6
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bayern Munich 1. · Schalke 04 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 29 24 3 2 +55 75
2 Dortmund 29 21 5 3 +39 68
3 Leverkusen 30 15 6 9 +14 51
4 Hertha 30 14 7 9 +4 49
5 M'gladbach 30 14 3 13 +12 45
6 Mainz 29 13 6 10 +4 45
7 Schalke 04 29 13 6 10 +1 45
8 Wolfsburg 30 10 9 11 +1 39
9 FC Ingolstadt 04 30 10 9 11 -6 39
10 Darmstadt 30 8 11 11 -10 35
11 Hamburg 29 9 7 13 -5 34
12 FC Koln 29 8 10 11 -8 34
13 Hoffenheim 30 8 10 12 -10 34
14 Augsburg 30 8 9 13 -10 33
15 Stuttgart 30 9 6 15 -14 33
16 Werder Bremen 30 8 7 15 -19 31
17 Ein Frankfurt 30 6 9 15 -20 27
18 Hannover 30 6 3 21 -28 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bayern Munich Schalke 04
Half-time 1–0
1–0 R. Lewandowski
A. Vidal
54′
J. Kimmich 🔁
↦ M. Benatia
63′
2–0 R. Lewandowski
Rafinha
65′
F. Ribéry 🔁
↦ Douglas Costa
68′
69′
🔁 M. Meyer
↦ K. Huntelaar
69′
🔁 Y. Belhanda
↦ J. Geis
3–0 A. Vidal
F. Ribéry
73′
S. Rode 🔁
↦ A. Vidal
78′
82′
🔁 A. Schöpf
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

1 M. Neuer G
21 P. Lahm D
13 Rafinha D
5 M. Benatia D
27 D. Alaba D
23 A. Vidal M
11 Douglas Costa M
19 M. Götze M
18 Juan Bernat D
9 R. Lewandowski F
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
32 J. Kimmich
7 F. Ribéry
20 S. Rode
4 S. Taşçı
6 Thiago Alcântara
25 T. Müller
26 S. Ulreich

Schalke 04

1 R. Fährmann G
27 S. Riether D
3 Júnior Caiçara D
32 J. Matip D
15 D. Aogo M
33 R. Neustädter D
5 J. Geis D
23 P. Højbjerg M
19 L. Sané F
25 K. Huntelaar F
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
Bench (7)
7 M. Meyer
11 Y. Belhanda
21 A. Schöpf
2 M. Friedrich
9 F. Di Santo
20 T. Kehrer
35 A. Nübel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Welz · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.