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Pro League
Waregem
S T T S T
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 19/23 matches
Win Ø 34%
42%
26%
Points per game
1,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
89%
65%
Both score Ø 75%
84%
65%
Average goals
3,9
3,0
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Waregem 8. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 19 15 1 3 +36 46
2 Gent 19 13 4 2 +24 43
3 Oostende 20 11 5 4 +14 38
4 Anderlecht 19 10 6 3 +11 36
5 Genk 18 10 3 5 +10 33
6 Standard 23 10 2 11 -9 32
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 29 7 8 14 -10 29
8 Waregem 19 8 4 7 +4 28
9 Mechelen 23 7 6 10 -8 27
10 Westerlo 29 6 9 14 -25 27
11 St Truiden 24 8 2 14 -13 26
12 Charleroi 19 7 4 8 -1 25
13 Kortrijk 21 6 7 8 -4 25
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 6 7 10 -6 25
15 Beveren 23 7 4 12 -15 25
16 Lokeren 24 6 6 12 -8 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 K. Essikal
2′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 C. Lepoint
M. Leye
54′
3–0 M. Leye
O. Kaya
58′
70′
🔁 L. Vaccaro
↦ T. Mézague
76′
🔁 Frederic Maciel
↦ V. Viola
81′
🔁 F. Marković
↦ E. Coulibaly
S. Brebels 🔁
↦ O. Kaya
88′
N. Storm 🔁
↦ M. Leye
91′
M. Baudry 🔁
↦ C. Lepoint
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Waregem

22 K. Steppe
14 H. Dalsgaard
5 B. Verboom
4 A. Diallo
34 O. Kaya
29 A. Cordaro
10 S. De Ridder
23 C. Lepoint
35 K. Essikal
9 M. Leye
7 M. Thiam
Bench (7)
33 S. Brebels
3 M. Baudry
42 N. Storm
1 S. Bossut
8 M. Poletanović
11 S. Buyl
15 J. Benteke

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
3 N. Dussenne
6 T. Mézague
23 M. Tirpan
15 J. Castelletto
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
9 A. Badri
17 E. Coulibaly
16 V. Viola
Bench (7)
26 L. Vaccaro
27 Frederic Maciel
18 F. Marković
11 D. Mohamed
24 N. Gulan
33 T. Defourmy
55 C. Manea

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.