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Pro League
Mechelen
T U S S S
2–3
Full-time
Charleroi
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 26/22 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
32%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
69%
55%
Both score Ø 67%
69%
64%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mechelen 6. · Charleroi 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 18 1 3 +40 55
2 Gent 23 14 6 3 +24 48
3 Anderlecht 22 13 6 3 +16 45
4 Genk 21 12 3 6 +14 39
5 Oostende 23 11 5 7 +7 38
6 Mechelen 26 10 6 10 -2 36
7 Standard 26 11 3 12 -12 36
8 Waregem 23 9 5 9 +5 32
9 Kortrijk 25 7 9 9 -6 30
10 Lokeren 27 8 6 13 -7 30
11 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
13 Charleroi 22 7 6 9 -2 27
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 6 9 11 -9 27
15 St Truiden 27 8 3 16 -15 27
16 Beveren 27 7 5 15 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Charleroi
5′
J. Perbet 0–1
A. Baby
40′
🔁 S. Ninis
↦ C. Benavente
Half-time 0–1
D. Veselinović 🔁
↦ G. Claes
46′
64′
D. N'Dongala 0–2
J. Vanlerberghe 🔁
↦ Chen Xavier
68′
70′
S. Ninis 0–3
1–3 S. Hanni
76′
R. Leal 🔁
↦ N. Verdier
77′
83′
🔁 C. Tainmont
↦ A. Baby
85′
🔁 G. Zajkov
↦ D. Dessoleil
2–3 S. Hanni
85′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
14 Chen Xavier
4 S. De Witte
23 U. Vitas
16 A. Bjelica
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
9 D. Veselinović
30 J. Vanlerberghe
8 R. Leal
15 E. Cocalić
17 N. Ben Khalifa
33 A. El Messaoudi
49 A. Moris

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
25 D. Marcq
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
14 C. Benavente
88 D. N'Dongala
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
29 S. Ninis
7 C. Tainmont
6 G. Zajkov
5 B. Boulenger
10 D. Pollet
28 E. Sağlık
35 P. Mandanda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.