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Pro League
Genk
S S U T T
4–0
Full-time
Oostende
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 19/21 matches
Win Ø 53%
53%
52%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
53%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
47%
71%
Average goals
2,6
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 6. · Oostende 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 21 17 1 3 +38 52
2 Gent 21 13 6 2 +24 45
3 Anderlecht 21 12 6 3 +15 42
4 Oostende 21 11 5 5 +13 38
5 Standard 25 11 2 12 -12 35
6 Genk 19 10 3 6 +9 33
7 Mechelen 25 9 6 10 -3 33
8 Waregem 21 9 5 7 +7 32
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -7 27
12 Charleroi 21 7 5 9 -2 26
13 Kortrijk 23 6 8 9 -7 26
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 6 8 11 -9 26
15 St Truiden 25 8 2 15 -14 26
16 Beveren 25 7 4 14 -17 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Oostende
1–0 Pozuelo
T. Buffel
12′
2–0 T. Buffel
L. Bailey
21′
Half-time 2–0
62′
🔁 Y. El Ghanassy
↦ M. Jonckheere
69′
🔁 J. Akpala
↦ N. Pedersen
N. Kebano 🔁
↦ R. Malinovskiy
71′
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ N. Karelis
76′
3–0 M. Samatta
77′
78′
🔁 K. Vandendriessche
↦ F. Berrier
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ Pozuelo
84′
4–0 N. Kebano
85′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
18 R. Malinovskiy
19 T. Buffel
7 N. Karelis
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
92 N. Kebano
77 M. Samatta
8 B. Kumordzi
4 B. Hamalainen
5 S. Walsh
11 I. de Camargo
26 L. Köteles

Oostende

1 D. Ovono
14 D. Rozehnal
27 B. Capon
44 A. Milić
5 J. Lukaku
7 S. Siani
10 F. Berrier
15 A. Jali
20 M. Jonckheere
55 Fernando Canesin
19 N. Pedersen
Bench (7)
8 Y. El Ghanassy
17 J. Akpala
26 K. Vandendriessche
3 N. De Schutter
25 W. Biebauw
30 S. Godwin
31 B. Godeau

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.